Former President Donald Trump, currently a presidential candidate, enjoyed a huge bump in the polls after his indictment in New York by Democratic Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg.
Post-arrest, Trump quickly soared in the polls to a record-high lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, the 45th president’s leading rival in the 2024 Republican presidential primary.
But the Bragg bump may be over already, according to a new poll from Yahoo News and YouGov — something that may surprise Trump voters, if the poll results are to be believed.
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Pollsters surveyed 1,530 American adults between April 14 and 17. They used online interviews, and said they estimated the margin of error at 2.8 percent.
The poll asked the respondents whether they’d vote for Trump or DeSantis in a hypothetical primary held today, and they discarded responses from non-voters.
52 percent of primary voters say they would vote Trump, with 36 percent backing DeSantis and 12 percent remaining unsure.
Trump’s hefty 52 percent is clearly very strong. But it’s down five points from last month, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis still delaying a campaign announcement.
Moreover, fewer than half of primary voters named Trump their first choice. That’s the lowest percentage since February.
Of course, Trump is still polling better now than three months ago. In February, Trump was polling four points behind DeSantis according to these same pollsters. Now, Trump is winning the expectations game, with 53 percent describing him as a more likely president than DeSantis.
In polls from his presidency, Trump enjoyed unusually stable approval. But heading into the 20224 primary, Trump is seeing strange swings according to many primary polls.
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Take a look —
2024 National Republican Primary
• Trump — 52% (-5 from April 1)
• DeSantis — 36% (+5)
Yahoo/YouGov | 04/14-17 | RVshttps://t.co/JB7cTyzNew pic.twitter.com/068f3oJc3a
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 18, 2023
Only 31 percent of Americans considered him “stronger” now than in 2020. 38 percent considered him weaker, according to the poll. 33 percent of Americans described Trump as the GOP’s strongest nominee, with 44 percent describing him otherwise.
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Trump has demonstrated a knack for turning his legal woes into poll bumps. In the run-up to last year’s midterm elections, Trump saw his home raided by the F.B.I. According to polls from that time, the GOP benefited from increased motivation to vote.
In Yahoo’s poll, 90 percent of all respondents had heard about Trump’s indictment in New York.
2022 flashback! FBI’s Trump raid causes huge voter shift
The Horn editorial team