The New York Times just dropped a bombshell on President Joe Biden’s election chances — and it has Democratic Party leaders scrambling.
A Times analysis of over 30 major polls conducted since January has raised serious alarms over Biden’s dwindling re-election chances.
Specifically, Biden’s support among women — a key Democratic voting bloc for decades — has plummeted to lows not seen for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2004.
The polls show former President Donald Trump has seized the momentum and gained 8-points over Biden among female voters nationally.
This represents a staggering swing from 2020 when Biden led Trump among women by 13 points, but now only leads by 4-points total — and it risks pushing the 2024 election into electoral college into a landslide Republican victory.
The shifting landscape is especially striking among Black and Hispanic women, two groups that have historically favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Biden’s lead has shrunk from 86 percentage points among Black women ahead of the 2020 election to just 58 points currently, according to the Times’ report on the data.
Among Hispanic women, a core constituency that helped deliver battleground states for Biden in 2020, his advantage over Trump has plunged from the high double-digits down to only 12 points.
The New York Times cites inflation and economic pressures as a driving factor behind Biden’s stunning declines within these key demographics.
With women making the bulk of household buying decisions, the pain of soaring costs of nearly 20 percent across the board has taken a major toll.
Nearly 60 percent of Black women in Michigan and a similar share of Hispanic women in Arizona now cite inflation as the most important issue influencing their vote, according to the data.
Perhaps most concerning for Democrats, young women – typically a reliable part of their base – are nearly three times as likely to say they were better off financially under Trump than Biden based on polling from the Kaiser Family Foundation.
The struggles to retain women supporters reflect Biden’s broader challenges in holding onto critical Democratic non-white voting blocs that are instrumental in Democratic Party national elections.
A Wall Street Journal poll in April showed Trump gaining significant ground compared to 2020, with 30 percent of Black men and 11 percent of Black women indicating they intend to back his re-election bid this year.
Meanwhile, a USA Today/Suffolk poll in January also revealed Trump now leading Biden by 5 points among Hispanic voters nationally – a jaw-dropping 33-point swing toward the former president’s numbers with this critical demographic in just two years.
With the 2024 election cycle rapidly intensifying, these mounting deficits among voters that are critically important to Biden’s campaign could signal a looming catastrophe for Democrats.
Democratic Party leaders are again left scrambling with their messaging and promises with little hope of solidifying these key constituencies, which will make or break their White House ambitions.