“On the Holmes Front,” with Frank Holmes
One of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s favorite pollsters just gave his analysis of the 2020 presidential election. If you’re a Democratic leader, there’s good news and bad news.
The good news is that the voters haven’t made up their minds yet, so the Democratic nomination could go to any candidate.
The bad news is: Voters hate all of them.
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“The polls show that Democratic candidates for president are getting more unpopular sort of every day almost,” said Perry Bacon Jr. from the website FiveThirtyEight.
And he meant the candidates are unpopular with their own party.
Maybe that lack of popularity is the reason the Democratic Party has gone through frontrunners like Michael Moore goes through Cheese Wiz.
Even Beto O’Rourke (remember him?) won the MoveOn.org straw poll with the party’s radical base.
Adding it up, almost one-quarter of the enormous Democratic presidential field has been the “frontrunner” at some point, only to fall behind again once voters got a better look at them.
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“Biden started off this race fairly popular, he’s more unpopular. Warren and Sanders are more unpopular,” Bacon said.
Every time voters would pay attention Biden yells at some old man, or Warren tells another lie, or Beto acts like he just took a bong hit.
Polls show that Warren has lost half her supporters in Iowa in just the last month.
The 2020 Democratic presidential field is so bad, not even Democrats like them.
That’s bad enough, but there’s worse news for the Democrats: Even though they’ve smeared him with every scandal and insult they can think of, President Donald Trump is in a great position to win reelection… even if voters say they dislike him!
“This is still a very close electoral environment. Donald Trump, despite being unpopular, could win the election,” Bacon said on ABC News’ “This Week” Sunday.
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Bacon blew up one of the Democrats’ favorite illusions: Party insiders have convinced themselves Trump’s win blue states like Wisconsin and Michigan was a fluke, because Hillary Clinton took them for granted. But Bacon said Trump is more popular in Wisconsin than in most of the country.
“We’ve never had this before,” Bacon told the stunned ABC News hosts.
Trump’s support with mainstream Americans “is more stable than any previous president. He basically has 40 percent (of the American) people who like him … and about 52 percent don’t like him.”
Bacon said that “those numbers don’t change no matter what he says no matter what he does”—but that also means they don’t change no matter what the Democrats do.
‘Impeachment, of all things, has not changed” the polls, Bacon told the astonished hosts.
“So, I think, Donald Trump has a very good chance to win the election even though he’s very unpopular,” Bacon concluded.
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Bacon isn’t just some johnny-come-lately. FiveThirtyEight is part of The New York Times’ website and its founder, Nate Silver, is an ABC News special contributor.
A Beltway news outlet is telling the media the Democrats are going down.
This is even worse news for the Democrats than it sounds… and it already sounds plenty bad.
The reason the news is so terrifying for the liberals is that the website FiveThirtyEight has a history of underestimating Trump’s chances of winning.
Like most professional pundits, the website blew the 2016 election—but they did it more boldly than most.
The forecasters at FiveThirtyEight predicted Hillary Clinton would win the election… and they said they were 71 percent certain about it.
They didn’t just predict Hillary would win: They said she’d practically run the table, winning every single swing state except Missouri and—maybe, just maybe—Ohio.
She’d pile up Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin—even North Carolina—on her way to crushing Donald Trump with 302 Electoral College votes to his 235.
Donald Trump turned their 71 percent prediction on its head. The actual results were almost the exact opposite. Trump won all those states, piling up a total of 302 electoral votes to Crooked Hillary’s 232.
If the website practically guaranteed that a Democrat would steamroll Trump four years ago, how frightened should Democrats be today when they’re saying he’ll win?
Don’t be surprised if the Pelosi and the Democrats nominate an even more unpopular candidate than Hillary Clinton next year.
And it will send Trump back to the White House for four more years.
Frank Holmes is a veteran journalist and an outspoken conservative that talks about the news that was in his weekly article, “On The Holmes Front.”