by Frank Holmes, reporter
Officials in the Democratic Party are reeling as shocking new data shows President Donald J. Trump has stolen away the group that used to be the Democrats’ anchor—and the very biggest group that led the Democrats to one election victory after another.
It’s extremely bad news for former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other Democratic leaders, because it’s the largest voting bloc of Americans…and you’re probably in it.
The Democrats “have traditionally been the party of the middle class. No more,” said CNN’s data guru, Harry Enten, recently admitted in disbelief. “Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away.”
In 1989, Democrats led Republicans among middle-class voters by a whopping 23 points. That dropped to 17 points by the time Barack Obama left office in 2016. It went down to just a four-point edge in 2022, in the middle of “Middle Class Joe” Biden’s presidency.
Now, the two parties are dead even—tied.
Enten, who regularly goes over polling data for the network’s shrinking audience, highlighted a poll conducted in May by CNN itself showing that a majority of Americans said the GOP is “closer to your economic views” than the Democrats.
Last May, the poll found Republicans led Democrats by nine points on the economy; now, it’s 12 points.
“This, I think, speaks to Democratic ills more than anything else,” said Enten.
Republicans always trusted the day would come. “Americans aren’t fooled anymore,” said the Republican State Leadership Committee.
CNN isn’t the only polling company that has taken notice of middle America’s generational shift toward the GOP.
Last April, the Pew Research Center said 51 percent of people whose income qualifies them for the middle class supported the Republican Party. But the advantage shifts the more affluent voters are. “Among upper-income voters – those on the other end of the income spectrum – 53% are Democrats or Democratic leaners, while 46% are Republicans or GOP leaners,” the poll found.
What explains this? College indoctrination.
“Majorities of voters with a bachelor’s degree or more in all income groups associate with the Democratic Party,” Pew researchers found. So do the poorest people, who are most likely to be jobless and rely on government handouts.
“By contrast, 57% of voters without a college degree who are middle income and 63% of those who are upper or upper-middle income associate with the Republican Party.” (Two-thirds of military veterans, 63 percent, support the GOP, as well.)
That poll almost perfectly predicted how people voted in the 2024 presidential election.
President Donald Trump won the majority of votes cast by the 27 percent of the electorate that earned $50,000 or less the previous year, as well as the 32 percent who made between $50,000 and $100,000.
But Kamala Harris and Tim Walz won the minority of four in 10 voters who made more than $100,000, beating out Trump and J.D. Vance by four percentage points, according to NBC News exit polls.
Republicans have officially unseated Democrats as the party of the middle class and are increasingly more trusted on the economy. 🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/NlrlXnnAwQ
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) June 2, 2025
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, caught onto the electoral sea-change “during the heat of last summer’s campaign.
“The old conventional wisdom used to be that Republicans are the party of the rich and Democrats are the party of the poor and the working class. That has been turned on its head,” said Cruz. “Today, Democrats are the party of rich, coastal elites. And Republicans are the party of working class men and women, blue-collar workers.”
There has been a major shift in American politics. Senator @TedCruz gets to the heart of it:
“The old conventional wisdom used to be that Republicans are the party of the rich and Democrats are the party of the poor and the working class. That has been turned on its head. Today,… pic.twitter.com/F27XVyY3HU
— Steve Cortes (@CortesSteve) June 17, 2024
Even GOP elite Never-Trumpers have admitted they’ve lost their grip on the former party of Wall Street—and tried to use it to attack President Trump.
“The new makeup of the Republican Party, a majority of them are people who make under $100,000 a year,” admitted Sarah Longwell, editor of the anti-Trump website The Bulwark. She claimed President Trump’s tariffs would hurt his voters, who “shop at Walmart, and they will notice the price increases.”
.@SarahLongwell25: "The new makeup of the Republican Party, a majority of them are people who make under $100,000 a year. His voters shop at Walmart and they will notice the price increases." pic.twitter.com/AObHea5zDR
— The Bulwark (@BulwarkOnline) May 15, 2025
But if President Trump sticks with a 10 percent, across-the-board tariff, the average American’s income will rise by $4,252, according to the Coalition for a Prosperous America. “Lower/middle income households benefit more than upper-income taxpayers.”
A $4,000-plus salary bump means a great deal to middle- and working-class voters: It’s enough for a down payment on a new car, a vacation, or a much-needed home repair.
But making a few thousand more dollars has little impact on Democratic voters: The unemployed poor don’t earn a salary, and it’s not enough money to matter to wealthy elites.
The voter make-up may explain the Democratic Party’s policies—and their policies may explain why the GOP went running to President Donald Trump.
Open borders and allowing tens of millions of illegal workers—who can’t complain about work conditions and are willing to work for much less a dignified American wage—destroys the economic Expanding the number of people dependent on government, using food stamps to pay for junk food, and doling unemployment benefits that pay more than work take Republican voters’ salary and give it to shiftless Democratic voters.
The entire Green New Deal—with its electric vehicle subsidies, higher prices for gasoline and home heating, and stuffing solar panels and windmills everywhere—appeals to the rich, not the middle class miners and oil field workers squeezed out of a job so a two-professor household can feel less guilt about participating in the myth of “man-made catastrophic climate change.”
The Democrats are willing to screw the entire middle class to benefit their voters. The latest polls show, at long last, the middle class has started to notice.