The polls have failed to predict election results for three of the last four elections. Still, one pollster has remained surprisingly close… and it has bad news for the GOP’s rising star.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has lost some momentum, according to a poll from Morning Consult/Politico.
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DeSantis would win only 28 percent of the potential voters in a GOP primary held today, according to 2,476 surveys taken since Thursday.
He’s dipped six points since his peak in January.
Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump has expanded his lead. He’s polling at 53 percent among these voters. That’s a 25-point lead.
Both of them polled ahead of former South Caroline Gov. Nikki Haley, Plus, the author Vivek Ramaswamy was polling at 0 percent… behind former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo.
Take a look —
2024 GOP Primary Polling Trends by Morning Consult
Jan 2:
• Trump — 45% (+11)
• DeSantis — 34%
• Pence — 8%
• Haley — 3%Feb 25:
• Trump — 48% (+18)
• DeSantis — 30%
• Pence — 7%
• Haley — 6%MARCH 5:
• Trump — 53% (+25)
• DeSantis — 28%
• Pence — 7%
• Haley — 4% pic.twitter.com/kUvW3TGsRK— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) March 7, 2023
DeSantis has yet to announce a presidential campaign, and some pundits have attributed DeSantis’ polling woes to this fact.
Plus, the poll offered some good news for DeSantis. The Florida governor ranked high as a second choice in the GOP primary.
48 percent of Trump’s primary voters would choose DeSantis as a second choice, according to 3,071 surveys.
Meanwhile, only 47 percent of DeSantis voters named Trump as their second choice, and 14 percent of them chose Haley as their fallback candidate.
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Morning Consult tracked last year’s midterm elections more accurately than some other pollsters. Eight days before the election, Morning Consult’s poll showed the generic Democrat polling equally to the generic Republican, according to a sample of more than 7,000 voters.
In these new surveys, the pollsters estimated the margins of error at 4 percent or less.
The Horn editorial team