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Swing state Democrat suddenly retires; to flip red!?

July 25, 2025 By: Cory Templeman

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Longtime Democratic Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers announced he will not seek reelection to a third term in 2026.

Evers’ sudden retirement sets the critical swing state up for its first wide-open gubernatorial race since 2010 and only its second since 1982.

Evers, 73, said he wants to spend more time with his family adding that he thinks he would win a third term if he had decided to run again, in his announcement shared via a video he posted to X on Thursday afternoon.

A love letter from me to Kathy and my family—and to you, Wisconsin. pic.twitter.com/VDcztZ6JPy

— Governor Tony Evers (@GovEvers) July 24, 2025

“I promised you when I ran for this office that I always worked to do the right thing, and I’d always give it to you straight,” Evers said in the video. “I’m a science teacher at heart who ended up running for office and won five straight statewide elections. So would I win if I ran the sixth time? Of course, no question about that. But whether I’d win or not that’s never been part of my calculus about running again.”

Both parties have multiple potential candidates who may jump into the race.

Potential GOP candidates include Republican Wisconsin Rep. Tom Tiffany, State Sen. Patrick Testin, State Senate President Mary Felzowski, 2024 Senate nominee Eric Hovde and 2022 gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels. Currently declared Republican candidates include Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and businessman Bill Berrien.

According to the Associated Press (AP) Wisconsin Democratic Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez entered the battleground state’s open race for governor today by calling President Trump a “maniac.”

Rodriguez enters the race established in the state, but aims to differentiate herself in what is expected to be a crowded primary.

Other Democrats that could enter the race Attorney General Josh Kaul, Secretary of State Sarah Godlweski, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson and former Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair Ben Wikler — who lost an election to lead the Democratic National Committee (DNC) in February.

While this election is focused on the state, it could have national implications as well in the historically tight battleground state.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan elections newsletter from University of Virginia Center for Politics, recently changed its rating of the Wisconsin gubernatorial race from “Lean D” to “Toss-up,” shortly after the news of Evers’ retirement.

Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik wrote on X that Democrats “should still have a decent chance to hold” Wisconsin’s governorship “but incumbency is still valuable in GOV races, so there’s added variability now.”

Crystal Ball gubernatorial rating change:

WI-GOV Leans D to Toss-up after Gov. Tony Evers (D) decides not to run for another term.

Ds should still have a decent chance to hold it in context of 2026 but incumbency is still valuable in GOV races, so there's added variability now

— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) July 24, 2025

Republican Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson told reporters yesterday that Republicans will now have an advantage to take back the governor’s mansion.

“Hopefully, this gives us an opportunity to win the governor’s race,” Johnson said.

About the Author

Cory Templeman

Cory Templeman is an experienced writer and researcher who has worked with some of the biggest names in the publishing business. Cory lives in South Carolina with his wife and three kids.

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