Former President Donald Trump faces a “60-70 percent chance” of being convicted in the hush money trial and could even be placed under house arrest, according to Anthony Scaramucci.
When he’s convicted, Trump would likely not be put in a jail cell. Instead, Trump will likely face house arrest and be forced by the state of New York to wear an ankle monitor, Scaramucci predicted.
Scaramucci briefly served as Trump’s White House Communications Director but is now a vocal critic of the former president.
Trump has pleaded not guilty to 34 felony charges related to alleged payments made to adult film star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 election.
Prosecutors allege that Trump paid Daniels to prevent her from discussing an alleged affair, which Trump denies along with any wrongdoing.
Speaking on The Rest Is Politics podcast, Scaramucci said he spoke with his connections with the southern district federal courts, known for their high conviction rate, to support his claim about Trump’s chances of conviction.
“When I ask buddies of mine what the likelihood is of the prosecutors winning this case, they say 60-70 percent. So there is a two-thirds chance Trump will get convicted,” Scaramucci said.
Regarding the potential punishment Trump could face if convicted, Trump will receive a fine and home confinement, but would not serve time inside a jail cell because of his status as a former president.
The conviction will also take Trump off the 2024 general election campaign trail while he’s stuck in Mar-a-Lago.
“Could he have an ankle brace on him, could he have to campaign remotely for some time? Possibly,” Scaramucci said.
“But this is not the election killing case if it goes to full fruition and they get to conviction.”
Last week, David Pecker, the former CEO of American Media Inc (AMI) and CEO and publisher of the National Enquirer, testified in the case. Pecker admitted to agreeing to help Trump keep negative stories out of the press in an attempt to aid his election chances.
The trial is set to continue this week as the legal proceedings unfold.