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‘Go away, Joe!’ Biden’s odds of leaving office early

June 30, 2022 By: The Horn editorial team

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President Joe Biden expressly intends to run for president again, but — given his advanced age and wide unpopularity — he faces a tough bid for reelection.

On betting sites, Biden is already ranking third behind some potential contenders… and stands significant odds of resigning before the next election.

Biden was pulling a measly 15.38 percent chance of reelection on the betting sites aggregated by Gambling.com.

At the gambling table, he stands lower odds of a 2024 victory than either former President Donald Trump (3/1) or Florida’s Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis (4/1).

What’s more, Biden is seen as not only a one-term president, but also a part-term president.

Biden is sitting at 36 percent odds — 7/4 — of losing his job even before November 2024, without even finishing his first term.

With these poor numbers, Biden has been fielding questions about whether to run again in 2024. Biden himself has characterized the persistent questioning as an invisible primary, aides told the Times.

In fact, Biden is becoming frustrated by lower-ranking Democrats’ search for another option in 2024, the Times reported after speaking to several “people who talk to the president regularly.”

In their view, Biden has clearly expressed his 2024 plans, and he’s the only candidate to have already beaten Trump.

He also has no clear successor.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., is even older than Biden. Plus, Sanders told CNN earlier this month that he would not challenge the incumbent Biden.  He was invited to dinner at the White House the following night by a very relieved Biden, according to a Monday report from Times.

On Gambling.com, Vice President Kamala Harris stands less than half Biden’s chance of winning in 2024, although she was ranking ahead of former Vice President Mike Pence.

Still, many Democrats want Biden to step aside in 2024. More than 500 self-identified Democrats were surveyed this month by YouGov/Yahoo! News. Only 43 percent wanted Biden to run again.

With these numbers, Biden may have no choice but to exit the White House after one term.

 

The Horn editorial team

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